Jumping on early NFL lines like a -3 shifting to -4.5 can feel tempting, but...

https://varimail.com/articles/how-do-i-stop-treating-every-new-stat-like-gospel-in-september/

Jumping on early NFL lines like a -3 shifting to -4.5 can feel tempting, but the info behind those moves often lacks real value. Early odds are noisy, driven more by reaction than data